Live Stock Market Tracker During Coronavirus Pandemic


The Fed will support banks that lend to small businesses.

The Federal Reserve said on Monday that it would provide a backstop to banks making loans to small businesses as part of the government’s coronavirus-tied lending program, an effort to get financing to vulnerable companies.

Congress has made loans available to small businesses as part of the $2 trillion stimulus package it passed in March. The Fed said Monday that it would establish a program giving banks an incentive to lend under the so-called Paycheck Protection Program, which is supposed to funnel some $350 billion in loans to cash-strapped companies.

While the central bank released few particulars — saying only that additional details would be announced this week — the program could take several forms, either making outright purchases of those loans once banks have extended them, or providing funding to the banks to help them lend.

Some areas of the market that have been hit hardest by shutdowns of economic activity soared. The hotel chain Marriot and the casino company Wynn, for example, each rose more than 10 percent. Credit card companies also rallied, after being hammered by soaring unemployment in recent weeks, which makes people less likely to pay their bills. Capital One and Discover Financial both jumped more than 10 percent. Payment giant Visa rose more than 6 percent.

Shares of cruise operator Carnival jumped by more than 20 percent after Saudi Arabia’s state investment fund said it has acquired an 8 percent stake in the company.

Still, there was a strong defensive tilt to trading. The utilities sector — typically an area dominated by risk-averse investors — was the best performing part of the S&P 500, rising more than 6 percent.

That suggests investors still see plenty of reason to be cautious.

While the slow of the spread of the disease is a good first step in reducing the impact on hospitals, it still could take some time to open the economy more broadly. On Monday, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo of New York cautioned that the state was still facing an emergency.

Plus, consumers — the chief economic engine in the United States — remain worried about how efforts to contain the virus will affect them. A Federal Reserve survey conducted in March showed that Americans’ pessimism about the labor market is testing new limits.

Expectations that unemployment will be higher a year from now rocketed up, as have workers’ estimations of the chance that they may lose their own job, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Survey of Consumer Expectations.

The G20 is expected to meet this week over the oil glut.

Representatives of Group of 20 countries are expected to meet “very soon — this week” to address the enormous oversupply of oil on the world markets, Fatih Birol, the executive director of the International Energy Agency, said in an interview Monday.

Mr. Birol, whose organization serves as an energy watchdog for industrialized nations, said that the glut of oil building in the market is too big for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers, including Russia, to resolve. This group, known as OPEC Plus, is expected to meet by teleconference on Thursday, in part to resolve a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.

Mr. Birol said that even if these oil officials agreed to reduce production by 10 million barrels a day — a staggering amount equivalent to about 10 percent of consumption in normal times — there would still be a surplus this quarter of 15 million barrels a day, according to his agency’s numbers.

Initially, “there would be an upbeat mood in the market but after awhile people would realize there is still a huge amount of supply overhang,” he said.

Mr. Birol also said that he was worried about the fate of the global oil industry, which he called “one of the pillars of the global economy,” and its tens of millions of employees.

Coronavirus ‘war bonds’ are under consideration, Kudlow says.

President Trump and his economic advisers are considering the possibility of issuing coronavirus “war bonds” as an effort to finance the swelling cost of propping up an economy facing a deep recession.

The CNBC television host Jim Cramer has been calling publicly for the Trump administration to issue such bonds to finance the economic relief effort and rally the country. On Monday, he asked Larry Kudlow, Mr. Trump’s top economic adviser, if the concept was on the table.

“You know, Jimmy, as far as I’m concerned, I think it’s a great idea,” Mr. Kudlow said. “This is a time, it seems to me, to sell bonds in order to raise money for the war effort.”

Mr. Kudlow said that he has spoken to Mr. Trump and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin about the idea. They have not decided whether to move ahead with it or what the maturity or rate on the bonds would be. It’s possible that a war bond could be the existing 30-year bond, rebranded.

Earlier in Mr. Trump’s term, Mr. Mnuchin formally studied the possibility of issuing 50- or 100-year bonds but found that there was not sufficient appetite for them. In January, the Treasury Department announced plans to roll out 20-year bonds for the first time since 1986.

When asked about the idea by Mr. Cramer last week, Mr. Mnuchin suggested that the current menu of bonds was insufficient.

“You can buy as many 30-years as you want,” Mr. Mnuchin said. “That’s no problem.”

There has been discussion in Europe about the possibility of the European Union issuing “corona bonds” to help finance health systems and emergency employment measures.

Democrats tell Mnuchin to move fast on airline aid.

Senator Chuck Schumer of New York, the Democratic leader, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged the Trump administration to quickly provide America’s airlines with direct payroll assistance.

Major airlines began submitting their applications for government support to the Treasury Department on Friday, but there was growing concern within the industry that Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will demand strict terms, such as large equity stakes in the companies, to ensure that taxpayers are compensated.

The Democrats, in a letter reviewed by The New York Times on Sunday, said they feared that if Mr. Mnuchin drove too hard a bargain that airlines would balk and lay off more workers.

The Treasury had no comment on the letter from the lawmakers.

JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon expects a ‘bad recession.’

Jamie Dimon’s annual letter to shareholders is widely read on Wall Street — he often uses it to discuss not just the bank’s performance, but regulation, the economy and America’s role in the world. In his latest letter, published today, the chief executive of JPMorgan, America’s largest bank, says he expects “a bad recession combined with some kind of financial stress similar to the global financial crisis of 2008.”

Companies have recently drawn down more than $50 billion from their credit lines with the bank, which “dramatically exceeds” the amount borrowers tapped during the last recession, Mr. Dimon wrote. Still, JPMorgan had nearly $300 billion in undrawn commitments at the end of last month, he added.

The bank has kept three-quarters of its 5,000 branches open during the pandemic. Like other banks, JPMorgan has waived some fees and extended repayment periods for mortgages, auto loans and the like. “We are exposing ourselves to billions of dollars of additional credit losses as we help both consumer and business customers through these difficult times,” Mr. Dimon wrote. The projected hit to the bank’s earnings — it made $36 billion in net profit last year — will be detailed when it reports its first-quarter financials next week.

In his letter, Mr. Dimon also added his voice to the chorus of captains of industry worried about restarting the economy, noting that a “disciplined” reopening would “minimize the time, extent and suffering caused by the economic downturn.”

Orders for groceries have been as much as 50 times higher inside Amazon, and the company is struggling to keep its warehouses staffed as concerns grow that these massive distribution centers have been contaminated, according to more than 30 current and former Amazon employees who spoke with The New York Times.

Last month, one person with knowledge of the situation said, worker attendance inside Amazon warehouses had dropped as much as 30 percent.

Though Amazon workers are not unionized, the situation has provided added leverage for workplace organizers inside the company to demand more pay and better sick leave. Last week, small groups of workers staged protests against working conditions inside two Amazon warehouses, and government officials in New York State and New York City said they were investigating whether the company improperly fired one employee who was part of a protest on Staten Island.

2020-04-06 19:36:52

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